Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:41:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price Marine Le Pen (82.0%), Jean-Luc Mélenchon (5.0%), David Lisnard (4.0%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| David Lisnard | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Marine Tondelier | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| François Ruffin | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Xavier Bertrand | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| François Hollande | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $65K
- Liquidity: $65K
- Closes:
Sources
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