Next French presidential election winner?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:03:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Marine Le Pen (46.0%), David Lisnard (17.0%), Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12.0%). The market has $1.7M in volume and closes on Mon, 31 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| David Lisnard | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Christine Lagarde | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| François Hollande | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 1.2% | 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Sarah Knafo | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Michel Barnier | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Lisnard | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| François Hollande | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Gabriel Attal | Opinion | 50.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.7M
- Liquidity: $1.7M
- Closes:
Sources
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