Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

As of Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:39:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $57K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.

Sources

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