December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:34:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 (58.0%), Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 (32.0%), Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 (14.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Wed, 09 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: >0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0:
If ALL of the following occur for Dec 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Federal Funds Rate Decision uses FEDDECISION, Dissents uses FOMCDISSENTCOUNT. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Sources
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