Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 13:55:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (38.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2033.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes38.0%38.0¢62.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the FDA approves a cure for Type 1 diabetes before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.