How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:42:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 214 (97.0%), Above 211 (96.0%), Above 217 (91.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 214 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 211 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 217 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 220 | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 223 | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 226 | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 229 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Above 232 | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 235 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Above 238 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above 241 | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Above 244 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 247 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 250 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 256 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 214:
If the Democratic party has above 214 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Sources
Related markets
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.