When will CISA issue a new Emergency Directive?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:56:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (78.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (57.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (34.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If CISA announces the issuance of a new Emergency Directive before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An Emergency Directive counts once CISA has published it on its Cybersecurity Directives page at https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/directives. It counts whatever its subject, but it must be a newly issued Emergency Directive that carries its own Emergency Directive number. The following do NOT count: A new version of an existing Emergency Directive, such as V1 of ED 26-03 A supplemental direction to an existing Emergency Directive A Binding Operational Directive An addition to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, and any remediation deadline that follows from one A CISA alert, advisory or other guidance urging agencies or the public to act A statement that an Emergency Directive is under consideration or forthcoming
Sources
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