Will China obtain an EUV machine?
As of Wed, 09 Sep 2026 10:08:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2030 (69.0%), Before Jan 1, 2029 (54.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (34.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Sources
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