Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 13:55:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (24.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes24.0%24.0¢76.0¢

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