Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:18:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (24.0%). The market has $1.7M in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes24.0%24.0¢76.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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