Which ballot measures will pass in California?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:11:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Proposition 38 (99.0%), Proposition 42 (98.0%), Proposition 5 (91.0%). The market has $83K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Proposition 3899.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Proposition 4298.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Proposition 591.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Proposition 434.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Proposition 412.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Proposition 41.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Proposition 451.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

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