Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Kostadin Kostadinov (86.0%), Ivaylo Simeonov (4.0%), Ivelin Mihaylov (4.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Ivaylo Simeonov | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ivelin Mihaylov | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ivan Hristanov | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Andrey Gyurov | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Iliana Yotova | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Nikolay Nenchev | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Radostin Vasilev | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Kostadin Kostadinov:
If Kostadin Kostadinov finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as published by the Central Election Commission, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 3rd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Sources
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