Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Lula da Silva, ≥1% (13.0%), Lula da Silva, ≥3% (7.0%), Lula da Silva, ≥7% (5.0%). The market has $43K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lula da Silva, ≥1% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Lula da Silva, ≥3% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Lula da Silva, ≥7% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Lula da Silva, ≥5% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Lula da Silva, ≥9% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $43K
- Liquidity: $43K
- Closes:
Sources
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