Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% (74.0%), Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3% (54.0%), Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4% (38.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3% | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4% | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥6% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Sources
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