Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 00:54:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Flávio Bolsonaro (99.9%), Augusto Cury (1.0%), Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (0.4%). The market has $489K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 99.9% | 99.9¢ | 0.1¢ |
| Augusto Cury | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| Fernando Haddad | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Romeu Zema | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Tarcísio de Freitas | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Renan Santos | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $489K
- Liquidity: $489K
- Closes:
Sources
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