2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 12:49:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price PT (33.0%), PL (24.0%), Republicanos (24.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Nov 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| PL | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Republicanos | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| PSB | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Missão | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| PSD | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| NOVO | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for PT:
If PT wins the 2030 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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