What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 24, 2026?
As of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:22:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (11.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sat, 24 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 24, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Sources
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