Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Lorne Doerkson (77.0%), David Eby (23.0%), John Rustad (2.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Sun, 24 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorne Doerkson | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| David Eby | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| John Rustad | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Brenda Bailey | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Dallas Brodie | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Emily Lowan | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Niki Sharma | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Lorne Doerkson:
If Lorne Doerkson becomes Premier of British Columbia as a result of government formation following the 2026 British Columbia general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Premier according to British Columbia's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the Legislative Assembly, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 24, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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