Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Lorne Doerkson (60.0%), Aaron Gunn (13.0%), Caroline Elliott (11.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorne Doerkson | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Aaron Gunn | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Caroline Elliott | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Iain Black | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Claire Rattée | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Yuri Fulmer | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Chip Wilson | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Harman Bhangu | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Sheldon Clare | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Stockwell Day | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Steve Kooner | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Lorne Doerkson:
If Lorne Doerkson formally holds the position of leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Sources
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