Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (45.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (41.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (14.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If Anthropic and the Holy See hold an in-person meeting after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The meeting must be deliberately convened, held in person, and attended by at least one Anthropic representative and at least one Holy See representative who both actively participate. An Anthropic representative is a co-founder, an executive officer, or any other person Anthropic sends to speak for the company. A Holy See representative is the Pope, a cardinal, or an official of the Secretariat of State, the Roman Curia, or a Vatican dicastery or pontifical academy, acting in an official capacity. A private audience, closed-door briefing, roundtable, or jointly convened event may qualify, and the meeting need not produce an agreement or statement. Only the part of a meeting held after Issuance counts; a meeting held entirely before Issuance does not qualify, even if reported afterward. Phone or video contact, correspondence, chance encounters, exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities, and attendance at the same public event or co…
Sources
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