Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 be above 7.16%?
As of Fri, 30 Oct 2026 04:33:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 7.16% (47.0%), Above 7.17% (39.0%), Above 7.18% (32.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 12 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.16% | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above 7.17% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Above 7.18% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Above 7.19% | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Above 7.20% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 7.21% | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Above 7.22% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 7.23% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 7.24% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 7.25% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 7.28% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7.27% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7.26% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7.29% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7.30% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 7.16%:
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Nov 5, 2026 is above 7.16%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Nov 5, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Sources
Related markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Who will control the House?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.