IA-03 House winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:13:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price Sarah Trone Garriott (81.0%), Zach Nunn (20.0%). The market has $86K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Sarah Trone Garriott81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
Zach Nunn20.0%20.0¢80.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Sarah Trone Garriott:

If the House member sworn in for IA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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