CA-45 House winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:21:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Derek Tran (92.8%), Chuong Vo (8.0%). The market has $111K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Derek Tran92.8%92.8¢7.2¢
Chuong Vo8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Derek Tran:

If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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