7Y US Treasury yield on Monday?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:56:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.64% or above (94.0%), 4.66% or above (93.0%), 4.68% or above (92.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.64% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.56% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 9, 2026, or one week following Nov 9, 2026.
Sources
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