3rd richest person on December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:04:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price Warren Buffett (46.5%), Steve Ballmer (27.6%), Jeff Bezos (21.1%). The market has $28K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Buffett | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| Steve Ballmer | 27.6% | 27.6¢ | 72.5¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | 21.1% | 21.1¢ | 78.9¢ |
| Bernard Arnault | 13.9% | 13.9¢ | 86.2¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 11.1% | 11.1¢ | 88.9¢ |
| Larry Page | 10.4% | 10.4¢ | 89.6¢ |
| Sergey Brin | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Larry Ellison | 8.1% | 8.1¢ | 91.9¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ |
| Elon Musk | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Michael Dell | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $28K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources
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