30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?

As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:29:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.26% or above (98.0%), 5.28% or above (88.0%), 5.32% or above (21.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.26% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.28% or above88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
5.32% or above21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
5.3% or above20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
5.36% or above14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
5.46% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.4% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.44% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.48% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.5% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.42% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.52% or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
5.34% or above4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
5.38% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
5.54% or above2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.46% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.

Sources

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