2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:39:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.92% or above (99.0%), 4.9% or above (98.0%), 4.84% or above (25.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.92% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.8% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
- How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.