2nd richest person on December 31?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 00:35:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price Larry Page (58.5%), Sergey Brin (37.0%), Jeff Bezos (32.8%). The market has $48K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Page | 58.5% | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ |
| Sergey Brin | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | 32.8% | 32.8¢ | 67.2¢ |
| Steve Ballmer | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 24.4% | 24.4¢ | 75.5¢ |
| Warren Buffett | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Larry Ellison | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Elon Musk | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
| Bernard Arnault | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $48K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources
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