Next President of Paraguay?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Pedro Alliana (68.0%), Miguel Prieto (18.0%), Eduardo Nakayama (6.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Alliana | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Miguel Prieto | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Eduardo Nakayama | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Ricardo Estigarribia | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Alberto Martínez Simón | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Arnoldo Wiens | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Basilio Núñez | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Celeste Amarilla | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Juan Carlos Baruja | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Raúl Latorre | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Yolanda Paredes | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Kattya González | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Lilian Samaniego | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Luis Pettengill | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Pedro Alliana:
If Pedro Alliana formally holds the position of President of Paraguay before Jan 1, 2029, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Taipei mayoral election winner?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.