Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $126K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $126K
- Liquidity: $126K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
Sources
Related markets
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay this year?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.