Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
As of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 20:14:40 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ 1.10 (45.5%), ↑ 1.20 (15.0%), ↑ 1.22 (10.5%). The market has $67K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 1.10 | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| ↑ 1.20 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| ↑ 1.22 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| ↓ 1.05 | 7.2% | 7.2¢ | 92.8¢ |
| ↓ 1.00 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| ↑ 1.24 | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
| ↑ 1.26 | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| ↑ 1.30 | 2.3% | 2.3¢ | 97.8¢ |
| ↑ 1.40 | 1.2% | 1.2¢ | 98.8¢ |
| ↑ 1.35 | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $67K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↓ 1.10:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Sources
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