Next President of Estonia?

As of Sat, 10 Oct 2026 22:59:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ülle Madise (98.0%), Hannes Hanso (2.0%), Kersti Kaljulaid (2.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 22:59:23 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Kalshi
• Volume: $23K
• Liquidity: $23K
• Closes: Fri, 08 Jan 2027

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ülle Madise:

If Ülle Madise formally holds the position of President of Estonia before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Sources

• Source: Kalshi market

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