Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Brent Crude Oil (83.0%), WTI Crude Oil (9.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Crude Oil | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| WTI Crude Oil | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Brent Crude Oil:
If Brent Crude Oil performs above WTI Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of WTI Crude Oil on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if WTI Crude Oil opens at $80.00 per barrel on January 2, 2026 and closes at $90.00 per barrel on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of WTI Crude Oil is +12.500%.
Sources
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