Major news story this month?

As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 23:49:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 3 (3.0%), At least 2 (3.0%), At least 1 (3.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 33.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 23.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 13.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 103.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 51.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 3:

If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.