10Y US Treasury yield on Monday?
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:12:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.71% or above (99.0%), 4.73% or above (99.0%), 4.75% or above (99.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.71% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.97% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 9, 2026, or one week following Nov 9, 2026.
Sources
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