Will Trump talk to Lula before November?

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 13:51:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (46.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes46.0%46.0¢54.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not

Sources

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