Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
As of Sat, 05 Sep 2026 06:12:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (1.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration. The action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use, with Trump as an integral element of the replacement name. Trump Strait and Strait of Trump qualify. A non-Trump replacement does not qualify. Merely using a Trump name as an alternate, honorary, or informal title does not qualify. A map, database, registry, contract, or other record change by an agency without the President's qualifying action does not qualify. An action covering only a portion of the waterway designated by…
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.