Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 00:04:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 10 (94.5%), November 9 (92.5%), November 30 (92.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 10 | 94.5% | 94.5¢ | 5.5¢ |
| November 9 | 92.5% | 92.5¢ | 7.5¢ |
| November 30 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| November 17 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 27 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 7 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 12 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 16 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 23 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 24 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 25 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 26 | 91.5% | 91.5¢ | 8.5¢ |
| November 21 | 90.5% | 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ |
| November 13 | 90.5% | 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ |
| November 14 | 90.5% | 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professional…
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.