Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 19:43:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.9%). The market has $770K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $770K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.