Will Trump pardon anyone by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:27:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (80.5%), October 31 (47.5%). The market has $571 in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 80.5% | 80.5¢ | 19.5¢ |
| October 31 | 47.5% | 47.5¢ | 52.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $571
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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