Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation this year?

As of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:38:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (2.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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