Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by...?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 00:02:38 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (53.5%), November 30 (52.0%), November 13 (26.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| November 30 | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| November 13 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| November 6 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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