Will Israel annex any territory by...?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:39:36 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (14.0%), March 31, 2027 (10.0%), December 31, 2026 (2.5%). The market has $99K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| March 31, 2027 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $99K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for June 30, 2027:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.