Will Israel annex any territory by...?

As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:39:36 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (14.0%), March 31, 2027 (10.0%), December 31, 2026 (2.5%). The market has $99K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
June 30, 202714.0%14.0¢86.0¢
March 31, 202710.0%10.0¢90.0¢
December 31, 20262.5%2.5¢97.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for June 30, 2027:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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