Will Israel annex any territory by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:20:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 (47.0%), June 30, 2027 (45.0%), December 31, 2026 (4.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for March 31, 2027:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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