Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:06:31 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (15.5%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $49
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
Sources
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