Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:07:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (56.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $28K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Sources
Related markets
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- California Governor Election Winner
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.