Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:13:35 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (41.0%), December 31, 2026 (5.0%). The market has $51K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $51K
- Liquidity: $29K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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