Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:13:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price $500M (42.0%), $1B (38.0%), $2B (37.0%). The market has $477K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $500M | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| $1B | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| $2B | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| $4B | 35.5% | 35.5¢ | 64.5¢ |
| $3B | 34.5% | 34.5¢ | 65.5¢ |
| $6B | 28.5% | 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ |
| $5B | 27.5% | 27.5¢ | 72.5¢ |
| $8B | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
| $12B | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| $10B | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $477K
- Liquidity: $184K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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