Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:36:26 UTC, Polymarket traders price Ursula von der Leyen (63.0%), Mark Rutte (35.0%), Emmanuel Macron (12.5%). The market has $150K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ursula von der Leyen | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Mark Rutte | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Emmanuel Macron | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| António Guterres | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Mark Carney | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| JD Vance | 5.9% | 5.9¢ | 94.1¢ |
| Donald Trump | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $150K
- Liquidity: $78K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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