Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:57:00 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (1.5%). The market has $1.3M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.3M
- Liquidity: $76K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Sources
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